Karolina Muchova vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
K. Muchova vs A. Sabalenka

Karolina Muchova

CZE

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.80m

Height

1.82m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$8.6M

Career Money

$36.4M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Aryna Sabalenka

BLR

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.80m

Height

1.82m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$8.6M

Career Money

$36.4M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Muchova 3 - 1 Sabalenka

They have played 11 sets in total, with Karolina Muchova winning 6 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 5. The last match between Karolina Muchova and Aryna Sabalenka was at the China Open - Beijing, 04-10-2024, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Muchova	3
Sabalenka	1

Last H2H Matches:

(QF) China Open - Beijing(10-04-24)

Stats

Karolina Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

(SF) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-19-23)

Stats

Karolina Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

(SF) French Open - Paris(06-08-23)

Stats

Karolina Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

K. Muchova vs A. Sabalenka H2H Profile

K. Muchova	Stats	A. Sabalenka
$8,638,040	Career Prize Money	$36,351,103
66.95% (320-158)	Career Total W/L	70.69% (480-199)
1	Clay	0
2	Hard	1
3	Titles	27
3	Total H2H Matches	1
60.61% (20-13)	YTD Win/Loss	84.85% (56-10)
0	YTD Titles	4

K. Muchova vs A. Sabalenka Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Karolina Muchova has won 45.19% of points on their second serve, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 39.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Karolina Muchova, in recent form, has won 49.19% of their opponent's second serve points, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 48.00%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.70% and 29.96% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Karolina Muchova has saved 58.33% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Aryna Sabalenka has saved 52.46% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Karolina Muchova has won 65.91% of matches played (W/L 29/ 15), with Aryna Sabalenka winning 83.54% (W/L 29/ 13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Karolina Muchova has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 70% (W/L 138/ 60), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 57% (W/L 20/ 15). Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 293/ 103), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/ 24).
Player level: In the last year, Karolina Muchova has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 72.73% of matches (W/L 16/ 6), where as Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80.95% of matches (W/L 34/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Karolina Muchova winning 3 times and Aryna Sabalenka being victorious 1 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Karolina Muchova winning 6 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 5. The last match between Karolina Muchova and Aryna Sabalenka was at the China Open - Beijing, 04-10-2024, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 3:3:8.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Karolina Muchova has played against opponents with an average rank of 86.02 while Aryna Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 48.28.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Karolina Muchova has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 63% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Karolina Muchova has converted 33.68% of breakpoint opportunities, and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 31.19% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Karolina Muchova vs Aryna Sabalenka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

K. Muchova vs A. Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

K. Muchova	Stats	A. Sabalenka
3	H2H Matches Won	1
6	Sets Won	5
64	Games Won	60
18	Aces (Total)	10
14	Total Double Faults	26
3:3:8	Avg. Match Time	3:3:8
63% (255/408)	1st Serve %	61% (245/401)
66% (168/255)	1st Serve Win %	62% (152/245)
51% (78/153)	2nd Serve Win %	54% (85/156)
46% (16/35)	Break Pts Won %	40% (14/35)
41% (164/401)	Return Pts Won %	40% (162/408)
75% (3/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	25% (1/4)
100% (3/3)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/3)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Won → Match Won	50% (1/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	50% (1/2)
50% (1/2)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

K. Muchova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
QF Naomi OsakaN. Osaka	L	6-4 7-6(3)	Stats
R4 Marta KostyukM. Kostyuk	W	6-3 6-7(0) 6-3	Stats
R3 Linda NoskovaL. Noskova	W	6-7(5) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R2 Sorana CirsteaS. Cirstea	W	7-6(0) 6-7(3) 6-4	Stats
R1 Venus WilliamsV. Williams	W	6-3 2-6 6-1	Stats

View All

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
F Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova	W	6-3 7-6(3)	Stats
SF Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula	W	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats
QF Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova	W	w/o	Stats
R4 Cristina BucsaC. Bucsa	W	6-1 6-4	Stats
R3 Leylah Annie FernandezL. Annie	W	6-3 7-6(2)	Stats

View All

K. Muchova vs A. Sabalenka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

K. Muchova	Stats	A. Sabalenka
66.95% (320/158)	YTD Win/Loss	70.69% (480/199)
63.96% (708/399)	Sets Win/Loss	66.58% (1060/532)
55.32% (5657/4569)	Games Win/Loss	56.14% (8361/6532)
69.70% (138/60)	Hard Win/Loss	73.99% (293/103)
65.90% (114/59)	Clay Win/Loss	66.67% (100/50)
66.67% (48/24)	Indoor Hard W/L	64.79% (46/25)
57.14% (20/15)	Grass Win/Loss	66.13% (41/21)
0.23	Aces Per Game	0.38
1167	Aces Total	2796
0.15	Double Faults Per Game	0.39
756	Total Double Faults	2843
1:19:38	Average Match Time	1:30:49
390.24	Average Opponent Rank	281.65
66% (17121/26015)	1st Serve %	60% (27467/45446)
65% (11110/17121)	1st Serve Win %	69% (18921/27467)
50% (4426/8894)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (8504/17968)
47% (1498/3210)	Break Points Won % (Total)	47% (2551/5453)
45% (11903/26554)	Return Points Win %	45% (20300/45182)
66.27% (55/28)	Slam W/L	77.78% (105/30)
70.27% (52/22)	Masters W/L	70.87% (146/60)
66.67% (2/1)	Cups W/L	62.50% (10/6)
64.29% (54/30)	Main Tour W/L	67.93% (125/59)
65.96% (93/48)	Challenger W/L	64.89% (61/33)
68.82% (64/29)	Futures W/L	75.00% (33/11)
67% (312/466)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	71% (477/675)
0% (0/3)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	100% (1/1)
61% (72/119)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	62% (111/180)
54% (84/157)	Deciding Set Win %	57% (134/237)
89% (306/272)	1st Set Won, Won Match	89% (457/408)
11% (306/34)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	11% (457/48)
28% (172/48)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	32% (222/71)